Education

  • By John Bailey
    November 2, 2010

    Lots of anticipation with today's midterm elections.  No one quite knows how this will all turn out but most of the political insiders we've spoken with over the last couple of weeks expect big GOP  gains in the House, state legislatures, and gubernatorial races.  Senate still seems likely to remain under Democratic majority.  Polling has been a bit scattered because of technical issues related to how to construct the turnout formula when no one really knows what the turnout will be given the unique dynamics at play in this cycle.    

    Don't forget to check out EdWeek's election coverage.  

    Watch America vote over at FourSquare and don't forget to checkin to unlock your I Voted badge which was developed in part by former colleague Patrick Ruffini and Mindy Finn.

    Nate Silverman over at FiveThirtyEight provides the ultimate, hour-by-hour, district-by-district election guideincluding an interesting "magic number" which indicates how many seats we’d expect the Republicans to gain on the Democrats over all if they won this particular seat and all seats in which FiveThirtyEight's models have them favored by a larger margin.

    Taegan Goddard provides a handy guide on polling closing times for today: 

    6:00 pm ET 
    • Indiana
    • Eastern Kentucky
    7:00 pm ET
    • Florida (except Western panhandle which close at 8 pm.)
    • Georgia
    • Western Kentucky
    • New Hampshire
    • South Carolina
    • Vermont
    • Virginia
    7:30 pm ET
    • North Carolina
    • Ohio
    • West Virginia
    8:00 pm ET
    • Alabama
    • Connecticut
    • Delaware
    • Washington, D.C.
    • Illinois
    • Kansas
    • Maine
    • Maryland
    • Massachusetts
    • Michigan
    • Mississippi
    • Missouri
    • New Jersey
    • Oklahoma
    • Pennsylvania
    • Tennessee
    • Texas
    8:30 pm ET
    • Arkansas
    9:00 pm ET
    • Arizona
    • Colorado
    • Louisiana
    • Minnesota
    • Nebraska
    • New Mexico
    • New York
    • North Dakota
    • Rhode Island
    • South Dakota
    • Wisconsin
    • Wyoming
    10:00 pm ET
    • Idaho
    • Iowa
    • Montana
    • Nevada
    • Oregon
    • Utah
    11:00 pm ET
    • California
    • Washington
    12:00 am ET
    • Alaska
    • Hawaii

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  • By John Bailey
    October 27, 2010

    Ever since I read Wisdom of the Crowds shortly after the 2004 election, I became fascinated by prediction markets The basic idea of a prediction market is that more accurate predictions will emerge from the betting activity of the collective crowd of individuals who have an incentive to be right in their prediction, even if it is not the outcome they desire.  The contract price in these markets represent the probability of that event occurring.  So 80 represents an 80% probability that will occur.  

    I've been interested in these mechanisms, in part, because various pilots have shown that they can be incrediblyaccurate in terms of forecasting events or outcomes.  For example, in the 2008 presidential campaign, the Iowa Electronics Market predicted the final vote totals of Obama and McCain more accurately then the polls of Gallup, Zogby, Fox News, CBS, ABC and NBC/Wall Street Journal. The Hollywood Stock Exchange predicted the 2009 Oscar winners with a 88% accuracy (three year avg  of 83%).  Last year’s Oscar nominations had a  88.6% accuracy.  Better than most experts who track Hollywood for a living.  

    So in addition to the normal political polls, I'm been monitoring Intrade's contracts on a number of midterm election outcomes.  Here is their Wednesday summary but it is worth visiting the page and checking out the individual races for more details.  

     

    2010 US Midterm Elections: Market Update

    Wednesday, Oct 27, 2010 

     

    Control of the House of Representatives after 2010 midterms:

    Democrats 11.1% (no change from yesterday)
    Republicans 88.9% (+0.7 from yesterday)

    Number of seats in the House gained by Republicans in 2010 midterms:

    20 or more House seats gained 97.7% (no change from yesterday)
    30 or more House seats gained 96.0% (no change from yesterday)
    40 or more House seats gained 87.2% (+0.1 from yesterday)
    50 or more House seats gained 79.9% (+8.0 from yesterday)
    60 or more House seats gained 43.9% (+6.9 from yesterday)

    Control of the Senate after 2010 midterms:

    Democrats 55.0% (-2.7 from yesterday)
    Republicans 12.5% (-3.5 from yesterday)
    Neither Party 32.5% (+3.0 from yesterday)

    Number of Senate seats held by Republicans after 2010 midterms:

    45 or more Senate seats held 97.5% (+2.5 from yesterday)
    46 or more Senate seats held 96.9% (+8.8 change from yesterday)
    47 or more Senate seats held 89.0% (+3.9 from yesterday)
    48 or more Senate seats held 78.9% (+3.8 from yesterday)
    49 or more Senate seats held 48.5% (-0.5 from yesterday)
    50 or more Senate seats held 30.0% (+2.5 from yesterday)

     

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  • By John Bailey
    October 27, 2010
  • By John Bailey
    October 27, 2010

    Powerful speech by Newark Mayor Cory Booker on America's Education system. Hat Tip to EduWonk for the link.  click on read more for the videos... Read more

  • November 10, 2010 - 2:00pm

    Elections matter.  Some register as mild tremors, others bring fundamental shifts in the direction of government and/or the relationship of the citizenry to their elected officials.  Yet the election itself is only the first part of a two act play -- the second, perhaps the more critical part, is governing.  Specifically, how does the message that the voters impart via the ballot box impact the adoption and implementation of the laws and regulations of the nation. 

    This year's election could have a tremendous impact on the direction of education policy in the country.  With the potential for a change of party control and new leadership on the education committees of the Congress, as well as changes resulting from the 37 gubernatorial races throughout the country (including many Race to the Top winning states), what were priorities during the past two years may not be the priorities of the next two years.  

    On issues ranging from the future of the adoption of Common Core Standards to the key principles of a possible ESEA reauthorization, as well as issues such as the Administration's efforts to regulate for profit postsecondary institutions and the budget pressures on all levels of education, many critical issues that will shape education over the coming decade will be determined over the next 24 months. 

    The Obama Administration has signaled that it may look to education as an issue that it may find common ground with Republicans in Congress.  Yet it is not clear where the areas of agreement and tension between the Republicans and Democrats, the states and the Federal government, or the Obama Administration and various education interest groups may lie. 

    Our next "Education Insider" will explore these issues as we survey our insiders to gauge their reactions to the election results and gain insight on the key hurdles -- and opportunities -- going forward.  Who will emerge as the major players, what will be the major issues, how will the new crop of state leaders impact what happens inside the beltway - and ultimately how successful will the Obama Administration be in attaining its education agenda -- all will be explored in detail. 

    If your work requires insight into these trends and likely outcomes, you can’t afford not to know what the most connected insiders think is likely to happen.  Because elections matter...

     


     

    And join Andy Rotherham and John Bailey for an interactive Webinar on November 10, 2010 discussing the Education Insider survey results.  Joining them will be:

    Simon Rosenberg:  President and founder of New Democrat Network, a leading, center-left think tank in Washington, DC. Rosenberg, a veteran of two presidential campaigns, including the 1992 Clinton War Room, got his start as a writer and producer in network television. He is a leading political thinker and commentator with a unique ability to identify important trends and decipher changes transforming American politics well before others.

    Rosenberg has built NDN into one of Washington’s most forward-thinking policy shops. Together with Dr. Rob Shapiro, President Clinton’s Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs and Chair of NDN’s Globalization Initiative, he has fashioned a unique set of messages and policies around focusing on the economic well-being of everyday people based on Shapiro’s early analysis that even as GDP and productivity rose during the Bush years, wages stagnated and incomes declined.

    Rosenberg is a member of the Aspen Institute’s 2001 Class of Henry Crown Fellows and served on the 2004 Democratic National Convention Platform Committee. He sits on the boards of the Jonathan M. Tisch College of Citizenship and Public Service, the publication Democracy: A Journal of Ideas and the Roosevelt Institution. In 2007, Rosenberg was named one of the 50 most powerful people in DC by GQ Magazine.

     

    Dane Linn:  As Director of the Education Division at the National Governors Association Center for Best Practices, Dane oversees all education-related policy research, analysis and resource development. He regularly provides consultation and tailored analysis to the nation's governors on a host of issues including No Child Left Behind, early childhood, elementary and secondary, and postsecondary education. Under Dane's leadership, NGA's work continues to assist governors on developing policies that increase the number of students who graduate from high school ready for postsecondary education and the workplace.

    Recognized as a national expert in his field, Dane has authored numerous reports on issues ranging from school finance and teacher quality to school redesign and pay for performance. He recently spearheaded NGA's national initiative Redesigning the American High School, launched by former Governor Mark Warner of Virginia during his tenure as NGA Chair. Currently, Mr. Linn is leading the Common Core Standards Initiative which is state-led process for developing national standards in English Language Art and mathematics.

    Prior to his work at NGA, Dane worked at the West Virginia Department of Education where he was responsible for ensuring the implementation of the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act. Before that, he served as legislative liaison to the House of Delegates. His professional experience in education began as an elementary school teacher and principal.

    A graduate of Cabrini College, Dane received a master's degree from Marshall University Graduate College and is currently a Ph.D. candidate at Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.

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  • By John Bailey
    October 25, 2010

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  • By John Bailey
    October 22, 2010

    For your Friday entertainment - here is the latest from Next Media Animation (NMA) News which explores the issues raised in Waiting for Superman.  Michele Rhee and Mayor Fenty make a cameo appearance around the 50 mark. 

    NMA is a Taiwanese organization that has gained Internet fame for humorous news videos about current events.  Their videos have become viral sensations on youtube and blogs over the last several months.  

     

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  • By John Bailey
    October 22, 2010

    President Obama and Apple CEO Steve Jobs met Thursday where they discussed issues related to the economy and technology.  “They discussed American competitiveness and education, especially reforms such as the president’s Race to the Top initiative,” White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said in a statement afterward. “They then talked about energy independence and ways to increase job creation.” 

    Coverage over at AppleInsider and Bloomberg 

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  • By John Bailey
    October 20, 2010

    The Milken Family Foundation and Penn GSE, just launched the 2011 Education Business Plan Competition. This unique competition, in its second year, is designed to support new ideas in education, and provides a first place prize of $25,000 and a second place prize of $15,000.  

    Ideas for solutions can be non-profit or for-profit, focused on any learner from babies through senior citizens, and can take any shape (business services, technological tools, professional development programs, curricula, etc.). There also is no geographic limitation.

    The judges are volunteer leaders from both the funding side and the entrepeneurial side of education and represent the best in innovation in education.

    There are very few restrictions, but there are some, so submitters should read the Competition Rules before hitting "submit." The deadline for initial submissions is December 3, and competitors simply need to submit a summary of their idea for this round. Semi-finalists will be announced on January 25, 2011, and invited to submit full business plans. For more information, please visit the competition website or email us at educomp@gse.upenn.edu  

     

    2011 Timeline

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  • By John Bailey
    October 20, 2010

    Goodreads was launched in early December, 2006. Goodreads currently has more than 4,100,000 members and 110,000,000 books added to member profiles.  Goodreads has opened its API that will give parters free access to the book lovers' social network and the book reviews, meta data, and literary discussions.  Audrey Watters at ReadWriteWeb has more of the details along with these examples:

    • book.show: Get the reviews for a book given a Goodreads book id.
    • book.show_by_isbn: Get the reviews for a book given an ISBN.
    • book.review_counts: Get review statistics given a list of ISBNs.
    • book.title: Get the reviews for a book given a title string.
    • events.list: Events in your area.
    • ratings.create: Rate a review.
    • owned_book.list: List books owned by a user.

    Interesting to see which books are the most popular. And Three Cups of Tea is the fourth most popular in the non-fiction section.  

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